Nate Silver on Herman Cain
Nate Silver has some interesting blog posts on the Herman Cain phenomenon. Yesterday's post focused on the polling versus fundamentals correlation over history. Cain has great polling numbers but lacks in traditional, professional staffing, funding and endorsements. Today, Silver looks at the over predicting by 'experts' with respect to Cain's run.
I loved these posts, but I think that Silver is looking in the wrong place to explain what is going on. Silver should be looking at the republican base. They've refined themselves into a mass of batsh*t crazy. Batsh*t crazy holds traditional and professional procedure in disdain. I think that the batsh*t crazy crowd is looking for their candidate and it isn't Mitt Romney. Can Romney hold out long enough for the batsh*t crazy crowd to hold their noses and finally vote for him? Or, will the bs crowd hold out for THEIR candidate? With Bachmann and Perry dismissed, who is left to carry the batsh*t crazy banner? Rick Santorum? Newt Gingrich?
The real question is this: Do the batsh*t crazy people have enough sway in the republican primaries to carry Hermain Cain. I think they do.
Labels: 2012 race, Herman Cain

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